EYE ON DESIGNQuantitative Risk Analysis for LNG TerminalsLNG TerminalsWidescale Development of LNG Bunkering is ExpectedWIM LAFEBERloyd’s Register recently con- Assessment Models for Shipping and penetration area in the cargo tank of the mine the outcome of a collision event to ducted a survey that indicated Offshore in the North Sea (SAMSON), stricken vessel. For this study, more than a much larger extent. The results of the that the majority of major ports which was developed by MARIN. Input 100,000 collision events were calculated Quantitative Risk Analysis are therefore Laround the world are either for this model included ship movements, by MARIN’s high throughput comput- helpful when considering risk-mitigat-planning for, or are anticipating, the wi- ship characteristics and the layout of the ing grid. ing measures such as speed reduction for descale development of LNG bunkering. terminal. Results of the study clearly showed a speci? c marine group.One of the locations is the Port of Rot- For the second phase of the study, the the added value of combining SAMSON terdam, which is a busy port with dense Maritime Collision Model (MARCOL) and MARCOL, over simpli? ed models. traf? c on the various waterways consist- was used. A Quantitative Risk Analysis For instance, the results demonstrated The Authoring of both maritime and inland vessels. calls for a damage calculation tool such that the relationship between the kinetic During the analysis, the probability of as MARCOL because it only requires a energy of the striking vessels and the Wim Lafeber is Researcher Hydro-struc-ship collisions was assessed and then the handful of parameters of the many ships probability of penetration of the cargo tural Services at the Trials & Monitoring consequences were identi? ed. The ? rst involved in collision events. The MAR- tanks was actually low. Geometrical Department of MARIN, the Maritime Re-phase of the study investigated the prob- COL tool automatically models the col- properties of the striking vessel, such as search Institute Netherlands. e: w.lafeber@marin.nlability of a collision using the Safety lision events and rapidly calculates the the freeboard and the bow shape, deter-MARIN Conducts Quantitative Risk Analysis for moored, small-scale LNG carriers and LNG barges for a Rotterdam LNG terminal.20 Maritime Reporter & Engineering News • OCTOBER 2014MR #10 (18-25).indd 20 MR #10 (18-25).indd 20 10/1/2014 9:35:01 AM10/1/2014 9:35:01 AM